Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000035 0.000040
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000058
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000078
2025-03-09 0.000012 0.000015 0.000021 0.000028 0.000041 0.000061 0.000099
2025-03-16 0.000011 0.000014 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000068 0.000122
2025-03-23 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000045 0.000077 0.000152
2025-03-30 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000028 0.000047 0.000086 0.000190
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000049 0.000095 0.000231
2025-04-13 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000050 0.000103 0.000278
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028 0.000052 0.000113 0.000341
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028 0.000054 0.000124 0.000424
2025-05-04 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000028 0.000055 0.000135 0.000519
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000010 0.000015 0.000028 0.000058 0.000151 0.000681
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000062 0.000175 0.000956
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000066 0.000201 0.001364
2025-06-01 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000068 0.000221 0.001831
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000070 0.000240 0.002450
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000073 0.000269 0.003594
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000076 0.000302 0.005539
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000077 0.000331 0.008323
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000079 0.000357 0.012654
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000081 0.000394 0.022015
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000083 0.000440 0.044807